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16-10-2022, 12:59 AM
Noticias:
The trend towards overpopulation looms over the Canary Islands.
The Canary archipelago will see its population increase dramatically within just 15 years. Some 350,000 people will be added to the current 2.2 million, which anticipates a great environmental, social and economic impact, which requires preventive measures in a territory that is limited and scarce.
In this sense, the National Institute of Statistics (INE) pronounced yesterday, which estimated yesterday that, if current demographic trends continue, the population of the Canary Islands will grow above 2.6 million inhabitants in the next five years.
If nothing changes, this will be due to the increase in new residents arriving in the Islands from abroad, since the projection of vegetative balance (difference between births and deaths) in the Archipelago between now and the beginning of 2037 would continue to be negative, while migration between autonomous communities would be practically on par.
Worries about the majorera trend
The population of the island of Fuerteventura will increase in the next decade, specifically in the next eleven years, by 45%, this means that the island will reach 178,000 inhabitants, of which 40%, that is, almost 71,000 people, will be foreign residents. At the moment foreigners account for 28.3%, 33,320 people.
Fuerteventura would increase to this huge 45%, being a minority the autochthonous population, in this sense there would be around 71,000 people of foreign origin and a high percentage of people from the rest of the Canary Islands and other autonomies of the state, and Lanzarote would rise by 29%, with 192,792 inhabitants, of which 38%, 73,260 people, will be foreign residents.
Negative vegetative balance
Thus, the vegetative balance in the Islands would show in the coming decades a rate of almost 41 deaths more than births (-40.8) per 1,000 inhabitants (the state average would be during the same period of -28.5), with the aggravating factor in the case of the Canary Islands that this negative balance will be increasingly accentuated by the generalized aging in a territory that lived its particular baby boom from 1970.
Regarding the migratory balance with other autonomous communities, the balance between those who arrive and those who leave to and from other Spanish territories would continue practically at par (-1.0 per thousand inhabitants until 2037).
The great difference that would explain this notable population increase in the Archipelago lies in the current migratory flow with respect to abroad, given that the new demographic projection of the INE places the Canary Islands as the second autonomy that would register in the next five years a greater difference between those who arrived from abroad and those who left, with a balance of 181.9 per 1,000 inhabitants in favor of the former, only below the Balearic Islands (190.6) and well above the state average (112.6). It is necessary to clarify that in this arrival of new residents from abroad does not play, by far, a significant role the irregular migration that survives the Canarian route of the boats, since the vast majority of these people continue on their way to the European continent.
It remains to add some data at the national level: Spain would exceed 51 million inhabitants in 2037; Catalonia and Madrid would register the highest absolute growth, and Castilla-León and Asturias, the largest falls.
The trend towards overpopulation looms over the Canary Islands.
The Canary archipelago will see its population increase dramatically within just 15 years. Some 350,000 people will be added to the current 2.2 million, which anticipates a great environmental, social and economic impact, which requires preventive measures in a territory that is limited and scarce.
In this sense, the National Institute of Statistics (INE) pronounced yesterday, which estimated yesterday that, if current demographic trends continue, the population of the Canary Islands will grow above 2.6 million inhabitants in the next five years.
If nothing changes, this will be due to the increase in new residents arriving in the Islands from abroad, since the projection of vegetative balance (difference between births and deaths) in the Archipelago between now and the beginning of 2037 would continue to be negative, while migration between autonomous communities would be practically on par.
Worries about the majorera trend
The population of the island of Fuerteventura will increase in the next decade, specifically in the next eleven years, by 45%, this means that the island will reach 178,000 inhabitants, of which 40%, that is, almost 71,000 people, will be foreign residents. At the moment foreigners account for 28.3%, 33,320 people.
Fuerteventura would increase to this huge 45%, being a minority the autochthonous population, in this sense there would be around 71,000 people of foreign origin and a high percentage of people from the rest of the Canary Islands and other autonomies of the state, and Lanzarote would rise by 29%, with 192,792 inhabitants, of which 38%, 73,260 people, will be foreign residents.
Negative vegetative balance
Thus, the vegetative balance in the Islands would show in the coming decades a rate of almost 41 deaths more than births (-40.8) per 1,000 inhabitants (the state average would be during the same period of -28.5), with the aggravating factor in the case of the Canary Islands that this negative balance will be increasingly accentuated by the generalized aging in a territory that lived its particular baby boom from 1970.
Regarding the migratory balance with other autonomous communities, the balance between those who arrive and those who leave to and from other Spanish territories would continue practically at par (-1.0 per thousand inhabitants until 2037).
The great difference that would explain this notable population increase in the Archipelago lies in the current migratory flow with respect to abroad, given that the new demographic projection of the INE places the Canary Islands as the second autonomy that would register in the next five years a greater difference between those who arrived from abroad and those who left, with a balance of 181.9 per 1,000 inhabitants in favor of the former, only below the Balearic Islands (190.6) and well above the state average (112.6). It is necessary to clarify that in this arrival of new residents from abroad does not play, by far, a significant role the irregular migration that survives the Canarian route of the boats, since the vast majority of these people continue on their way to the European continent.
It remains to add some data at the national level: Spain would exceed 51 million inhabitants in 2037; Catalonia and Madrid would register the highest absolute growth, and Castilla-León and Asturias, the largest falls.